Geopolitics
Resolves: Dec 2026 8 months left Volume: $203K

US military draft authorized in 2026?

NO
88c
YES
12c

Prediction markets put the probability at 12%: US military draft authorized in 2026. Currently, markets see this as unlikely (12% YES). Services hit recruiting goals early, and now there is a push to expand force size.

Price has been stable at 12% since 2026-04-14

Traded on Polymarket — $203K Volume

Polymarket prices this at 12c YES with $203K in volume. Moderate liquidity — use limit orders for positions above $1K to avoid moving the price.

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Last updated: April 24, 2026, 22:06 UTC
OddsShift analysis: 5 AI models + 162 tracked wallets. Track record: 12/12 correct directional calls across 12 resolved markets.
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Frequently Asked Questions

What are the current odds for US military draft authorized in 2026??
As of April 2026, Polymarket prices this at 12% YES with $203K in total volume.
Where can I bet on US military draft authorized in 2026??
This market is available on Polymarket (crypto-native, global access via USDC). OddsShift tracks prices and smart money positioning in real time.