Prediction markets put the probability at 12%: US military draft authorized in 2026. Currently, markets see this as unlikely (12% YES). That is exactly what it did with Section 224 of the House Armed Services Committee’s draft Fiscal Year 2027 National Defense Authorization Act.
Price has been stable at 12% since 2026-04-14
Traded on Polymarket — $334K Volume
Polymarket prices this at 12c YES with $334K in volume. Moderate liquidity — use limit orders for positions above $1K to avoid moving the price.