Prediction markets put the probability at 12%: US military draft authorized in 2026. Currently, markets see this as unlikely (12% YES). Services hit recruiting goals early, and now there is a push to expand force size.
Price has been stable at 12% since 2026-04-14
Traded on Polymarket — $203K Volume
Polymarket prices this at 12c YES with $203K in volume. Moderate liquidity — use limit orders for positions above $1K to avoid moving the price.