US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by September 30?

Q: What are the current odds for 'US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by September 30?'?

As of July 2026, prediction markets price this at 6% YES on Polymarket with $50K in total trading volume.

Q: What does smart money say about 'US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by September 30?'?

OddsShift tracks 1 smart money wallets on this market. The dominant position among tracked wallets is NO. Smart money wallets are selected based on historical profitability and win rate across Polymarket.

94c

YES

Prediction markets put the probability at 6%: US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by September 30. Currently, markets see this as unlikely (6% YES).

Currently at 6%

Traded on Polymarket — $50K Volume

Lower-volume market on Polymarket ($50K). Wider spreads expected — enter with limit orders and be aware of slippage risk. Currently 6c YES.

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OddsShift analysis: 5 AI models + 1 tracked wallets. Track record: 12/12 correct directional calls across 12 resolved markets.

CONFLICTING OUR VERDICT

HOLD

Smart money entered NO at 94c.

— TARGET YIELD

1 Active Wallets on This Market

We tracked 1 wallet with positions above $1K on this market. NO wallets entered between 94c.

Wallet	Category	Side	Amount	P&L
0x2e0b..70	MM	NO	$7.3K	0%
This Market Entered at 94c → now 94c (0%), $7.3K on NO Activity · 2 events · Jul 05 → Jul 14 DatePositionAmountTotal Jul 05BUYNO95+$2,755$2,755 Jul 14BUYNO94+$4,589$7,315 Realized— Unrealized−$29 Total Profit−$29 Wallet Type Market maker — provides liquidity on both sides. High trade count (841) is standard for automated market making, not directional conviction.

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No Positions Are Currently in Profit

NO wallets entered at 94c. At current price 6c, none of the NO holders are profitable vs none of the YES holders are profitable. Both sides have similar profitability — no structural edge.

Profit/Loss by Side

YES positions

0% in profit

NO positions

0% in profit

Polymarket: 6c YES — $50K Volume

Polymarket prices YES at 6c with $50K in total volume. Our model estimates fair value at 6c. Model and market are aligned — no pricing discrepancy detected.

Platform	YES Price	Volume
Polymarket	6c	$50K
Our Model	6c	—

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Frequently Asked Questions

What are the current odds for US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by September 30?

As of July 2026, Polymarket prices this at 6% YES with $50K in total volume.

Where can I bet on US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by September 30?

This market is available on Polymarket (crypto-native, global access via USDC). OddsShift tracks prices and smart money positioning in real time.

What does smart money say about US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by September 30?

OddsShift tracks 1 smart money wallet on this market. Dominant position: NO. Smart money wallets are selected based on historical profitability across Polymarket.