As of October 19, 2026, Polymarket prices “US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?” at 86% YES with $88K traded. 1 tracked wallet holds a position here; the dominant side is YES.
Prediction markets give a 86% probability to: us x iran ceasefire continues through october 28?.
OddsShift analysis: up to 5 AI models + 1 tracked wallets on every market with smart-money data. Verdict track record published on the accuracy page.
PRO Analysis
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YES wallets entered between 86c. At current price 86c, none of the NO holders are profitable vs none of the YES holders are profitable. Both sides have similar profitability — no structural edge.
Profit/Loss by Side
YES positions
0%in profit
NO positions
0%in profit
Polymarket: 86c YES — $88K Volume
Polymarket prices YES at 86c with $88K in total volume. Our model estimates fair value at 86c. Model and market are aligned — no pricing discrepancy detected.
What are the current odds for US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?
As of October 2026, Polymarket prices this at 86% YES with $88K in total volume.
Where can I bet on US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?
This market is available on Polymarket (crypto-native, global access via USDC). OddsShift tracks prices and smart money positioning in real time.
What does smart money say about US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?
OddsShift tracks 1 smart money wallet on this market. Dominant position: YES. Smart money wallets are selected based on historical profitability across Polymarket.
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