Will a ≤5% Uranium Enrichment Cap (1+ Year) be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?
NO
60c
YES
40c
Prediction markets put the probability at 40%: Will a ≤5% Uranium Enrichment Cap (1+ Year) be in a US-Iran deal in 2026. Currently, markets are divided (40% YES, 60% NO).
Currently at 40%
Traded on Polymarket — $50K Volume
Lower-volume market on Polymarket ($50K). Wider spreads expected — enter with limit orders and be aware of slippage risk. Currently 40c YES.