Will a ≤5% Uranium Enrichment Cap (1+ Year) be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

Q: What are the current odds for 'Will a ≤5% Uranium Enrichment Cap (1+ Year) be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?'?

As of August 2026, prediction markets price this at 18% YES on Polymarket with $101K in total trading volume.

82c

YES

18c

Prediction markets put the probability at 40%: Will a ≤5% Uranium Enrichment Cap (1+ Year) be in a US-Iran deal in 2026. Currently, markets are divided (40% YES, 60% NO).

Down from 40% to 18% since 2026-06-30 (-22pp)

Traded on Polymarket — $101K Volume

Polymarket prices this at 18c YES with $101K in volume. Moderate liquidity — use limit orders for positions above $1K to avoid moving the price.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What are the current odds for Will a ≤5% Uranium Enrichment Cap (1+ Year) be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

As of August 2026, Polymarket prices this at 18% YES with $101K in total volume.

Where can I bet on Will a ≤5% Uranium Enrichment Cap (1+ Year) be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

This market is available on Polymarket (crypto-native, global access via USDC). OddsShift tracks prices and smart money positioning in real time.