Will Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?
NO
88c
YES
12c
Prediction markets put the probability at 12%: Will Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026. Currently, markets see this as unlikely (12% YES). Trump threatens UK PM Starmer with ‘big tariff’ over tech tax: report.
Up from 10% to 12% since 2026-04-21 (+2pp)
Traded on Polymarket — $305K Volume
Polymarket prices this at 12c YES with $305K in volume. Moderate liquidity — use limit orders for positions above $1K to avoid moving the price.