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Resolves: Jan 2027 3 months left Volume: $52K

Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1550 by December 31?

NO
86c
YES
14c

As of August 28, 2026, Polymarket prices “Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1550 by December 31?” at 14% YES with $52K traded. No tracked wallet holds a position on this market, so there is no verdict.

Prediction markets put the probability at 8%: Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1550 by December 31. Currently, markets see this as unlikely (8% YES).

Up from 8% to 14% since 2026-08-28 (+6pp)

Traded on Polymarket — $52K Volume

Trade this market on Polymarket →
OddsShift analysis: up to 5 AI models + 166 tracked wallets on every market with smart-money data. Verdict track record published on the accuracy page.

No verdict on this market

None of the 166 tracked wallets holds a position here, so the Radar makes no call — price, volume and news above are live. When a tracked wallet takes a position, this page gets a verdict.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What are the current odds for Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1550 by December 31?
As of September 2026, Polymarket prices this at 14% YES with $52K in total volume.

Where can I bet on Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1550 by December 31?
This market is available on Polymarket (crypto-native, global access via USDC). OddsShift tracks prices and smart money positioning in real time.