Live odds on 294 prediction markets — acquisitions, tech launches, cultural events. Every market tracked with real-time data from Polymarket.
UAE's ADNOC says full Hormuz flows won't return until first half of 2027, validating the 81% NO consensus that May normalization is implausible.
Prediction markets put the probability at 14%: Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026. Currently, markets see this as unlikely (14% YES).
Prediction markets put the probability at 32%: Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June. Currently, markets are divided (32% YES, 68% NO).
WTI sits near $107 with Brent already above $110, so a $4 push in days remaining is plausible but markets still price 87% NO.
Prediction markets put the probability at 8%: Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June. Currently, markets see this as unlikely (8% YES).
Markets are split on this outcome at 54% YES. 3 smart wallets positioned NO — watch for convergence.
Prediction markets put the probability at 24%: Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026. Currently, markets see this as unlikely (24% YES).
Prediction markets put the probability at 6%: Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026. Currently, markets see this as unlikely (6% YES).
eBay flatly rejected GameStop's acquisition offer, and traders price just 14% odds of a deal closing despite the public attention.
Netanyahu's coalition holds despite war fatigue and corruption trial pressure, but 44% YES reflects real removal risk before December 2026.
Prediction markets put the probability at 73%: Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31. Currently, markets see this as likely (73% YES).
Sarah Kellen's House Oversight testimony adds pressure, but DOJ release timelines rarely move on witness depositions alone.
Prediction markets put the probability at 5%: Will Novak Djokovic win the 2026 Men's French Open. Currently, markets see this as unlikely (5% YES).
Prediction markets put the probability at 20%: Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of June.
Prediction markets put the probability at 72%: Will Jannik Sinner win the 2026 Men's French Open. Currently, markets see this as likely (72% YES).
Prediction markets put the probability at 73%: Nothing Ever Happens: 2026. Currently, markets see this as likely (73% YES).
Prediction markets put the probability at 6%: Epstein suicide note released by May 31. Currently, markets see this as unlikely (6% YES).
Prediction markets put the probability at 22%: Kash Patel out by June 30. Currently, markets see this as unlikely (22% YES).
Prediction markets put the probability at 8%: Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by May 31. Currently, markets see this as unlikely (8% YES).
Prediction markets put the probability at 8%: SBF released from custody in 2026. Currently, markets see this as unlikely (8% YES).
Markets strongly favor this outcome at 88% YES. 1 tracked wallet with $297K in volume.
Prediction markets put the probability at 12%: Will anyone be jailed over Epstein disclosures?. Currently, markets see this as unlikely (12% YES).
Prediction markets put the probability at 7%: Will Valve add Cache to the Map Pool by June 30, 2026. Currently, markets see this as unlikely (7% YES).
Prediction markets put the probability at 11%: Will Elena Rybakina win the 2026 Women’s French Open. Currently, markets see this as unlikely (11% YES).
Markets are split on this outcome at 55% YES. 1 tracked wallet with $198K in volume.
Prediction markets put the probability at 62%: Kash Patel out by December 31. Currently, markets are divided (62% YES, 38% NO).
Prediction markets put the probability at 36%: Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31. Currently, markets are divided (36% YES, 64% NO).
Prediction markets put the probability at 8%: H.R. 22 (SAVE Act) signed into law in 2026. Currently, markets see this as unlikely (8% YES).
Prediction markets put the probability at 26%: Ebola case in the US by June 30. Currently, markets see this as unlikely (26% YES).
Prediction markets put the probability at 6%: James Comey sentenced to Prison in 2026. Currently, markets see this as unlikely (6% YES).
Prediction markets put the probability at 26%: Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December. Currently, markets see this as unlikely (26% YES).
Prediction markets put the probability at 8%: Major CEX insolvent in 2026.
Markets strongly favor this outcome at 92% YES. 1 tracked wallet with $116K in volume.
Prediction markets put the probability at 13%: Greta Thunberg arrested by June 30. Currently, markets see this as unlikely (13% YES).
Prediction markets put the probability at 34%: Sinaloa Gov. Ruben Rocha extradited to US by June 30. Currently, markets are divided (34% YES, 66% NO).
Prediction markets put the probability at 9%: Will MicroStrategy announce bankruptcy before 2027. Currently, markets see this as unlikely (9% YES).