Market Radar
/
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026?
Crypto
Resolves: Jan 2027
8 months left
Volume: $400K
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026?
Follow
Prediction markets put the probability at 24%: Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026. Currently, markets see this as unlikely (24% YES). Bitcoin closes in on $80k.
Down from 30% to 24% since 2026-04-14
(-6pp)
Traded on Polymarket — $400K Volume
Polymarket prices this at 24c YES with $400K in volume. Moderate liquidity — use limit orders for positions above $1K to avoid moving the price.
Last updated: April 24, 2026, 19:28 UTC
OddsShift analysis: 5 AI models + 162 tracked wallets. Track record: 12/12 correct directional calls across 12 resolved markets.
What does smart money think? Get AI verdicts, wallet positioning, signal analysis, and entry targets.
Unlock PRO — $29/mo
Full AI Analysis Available on PRO Markets
OddsShift runs mathematical + AI models and tracks 166 smart money wallets.
Get BUY/SELL verdicts, entry targets, wallet positions, and P&L data.
Explore Market Radar →
Deep Analysis — Crypto Markets
These Crypto markets have full AI verdicts, smart money tracking, and 5-model analysis:
Frequently Asked Questions
What are the current odds for Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026??
As of April 2026, Polymarket prices this at 24% YES with $400K in total volume.
Where can I bet on Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026??
This market is available on Polymarket (crypto-native, global access via USDC). OddsShift tracks prices and smart money positioning in real time.