Crypto: AI verdicts on 8 Polymarket markets

8 crypto markets carry an AI verdict — BUY YES, BUY NO or HOLD — because a tracked wallet holds a position; 88 more are tracked with live price and volume only. Bitcoin price targets, ETF approvals, protocol milestones.

One verdict per market a tracked wallet holds 3 math models + up to 5 AI models behind it 166 tracked wallets tiered daily by their record
Crypto

Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?

Bitcoin would need a deep sell-off to hit $55,000, and traders price that at just 18% by December 31, 2026.

NO
92%
YES
8%
+12c edge $1K from 1 tracked wallet +3% potential
Crypto

Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?

Bitcoin trades well above $50K; a 38%+ drop would need a severe macro shock markets aren't pricing. The one tracked wallet sits NO, matching $3.5M volume that favors no deep dip.

NO
94%
YES
6%
+30c edge $14K from 1 tracked wallet +1% potential
Crypto

Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026?

With under four months left in 2026, the market prices the required rally to $120K as a long shot. The lone tracked smart wallet sits NO, aligned with the 88% majority and $1.7M in volume.

NO
92%
YES
8%
+2c edge $4K from 1 tracked wallet +3% potential
Crypto

Opensea FDV above $1B one day after launch?

OpenSea's long-awaited SEA token launch fuels debate, but a $1B day-one FDV would require aggressive valuation amid a cooling NFT market. The lone tracked wallet sits NO, aligning with $2.1M in bearish flow.

NO
90%
YES
10%
+31c edge $2K from 1 tracked wallet +5% potential
Crypto

Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026?

Bitcoin sits below the $110K mark and traders see a year-end climb as unlikely at current momentum. The lone tracked smart wallet is positioned NO, aligning with the 80% bearish lean across $1.6M in volume.

NO
86%
YES
14%
-2c edge $9K from 1 tracked wallet +11% potential
Crypto

Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 by December 31, 2026?

Prediction markets put the probability at 28%: Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 by December 31, 2026. Currently, markets see this as unlikely (28% YES).

NO
90%
YES
10%
-5c edge $3K from 1 tracked wallet +300% potential
Crypto

Puffpaw FDV above $200M one day after launch?

Prediction markets put the probability at 16%: Puffpaw FDV above $200M one day after launch. Currently, markets see this as unlikely (16% YES).

NO
84%
YES
16%
+24c edge $5K from 1 tracked wallet +13% potential
Crypto

Will Ethereum reach $4,000 by December 31, 2026?

Prediction markets put the probability at 18%: Will Ethereum reach $4,000 by December 31, 2026. Currently, markets see this as unlikely (18% YES).

NO
88%
YES
12%
+3c edge $2K from 1 tracked wallet +7% potential

Also tracked — no verdict yet (88)

No tracked wallet holds a position on these markets, so the Radar makes no call; price and volume are live.

Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?
NO 66c
$3.7M
Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026?
NO 93c
$3.1M
Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch?
NO 88c
$2.3M
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?
YES 70c
$2.3M
Bitcoin all time high by December 31, 2026?
NO 94c
$1.8M
Puffpaw FDV above $100M one day after launch?
NO 76c
$1.7M
Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch?
NO 61c
$1.5M
Puffpaw FDV above $50M one day after launch?
NO 71c
$1.5M
Will Ethereum dip to $2,250 by December 31, 2026?
NO 66c
$1.5M
Metamask FDV above $700M one day after launch?
NO 95c
$1.4M
Extended FDV above $500M one day after launch?
NO 78c
$1.2M
Will Ethereum reach $3,500 by December 31, 2026?
NO 74c
$955K
Puffpaw FDV above $400M one day after launch?
NO 94c
$912K
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 by December 31, 2026?
NO 52c
$891K
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 by December 31, 2026?
NO 70c
$808K
Puffpaw FDV above $300M one day after launch?
NO 93c
$779K
Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026?
NO 92c
$756K
Will Ethereum dip to $1,750 by December 31, 2026?
NO 92c
$700K
Extended FDV above $150M one day after launch?
YES 61c
$648K
Ethereum all time high by December 31, 2026?
NO 94c
$630K
Will stablecoins hit $500B before 2027?
NO 93c
$601K
Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 by December 31, 2026?
NO 86c
$557K
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 by December 31, 2026?
NO 83c
$521K
Will Ethereum reach $4,500 by December 31, 2026?
NO 94c
$491K
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?
NO 80c
$488K
Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2026?
YES 51c
$474K
Will Bitcoin have the best performance in 2026?
NO 78c
$453K
StandX FDV above $1B one day after launch?
NO 89c
$430K
Will Variational launch a token by December 31, 2026?
YES 86c
$388K
Ink FDV above $500M one day after launch?
NO 86c
$357K
Will Exponent launch a token by December 31, 2026?
NO 90c
$356K
StandX FDV above $800M one day after launch?
NO 85c
$346K
Will MetaMask launch a token by December 31, 2026?
NO 93c
$336K
Will MicroStrategy announce holding 1M+ BTC by December 31, 2026?-bV81
NO 94c
$331K
Opensea FDV above $100M one day after launch?
NO 88c
$314K
Will Hibachi launch a token by December 31, 2026?
YES 59c
$268K
Will Ostium launch a token by December 31, 2026?
NO 95c
$261K
Extended FDV above $800M one day after launch?
NO 89c
$254K
Ink FDV above $1B one day after launch?
NO 92c
$247K
Will Hyperliquid perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026?
NO 90c
$228K
Will Solana dip to $60 by December 31, 2026?
NO 94c
$227K
Will Ethereum reach $3,000 by December 31, 2026?
YES 56c
$222K
Will OpenSea launch a token by December 31, 2026?
NO 91c
$220K
Will Anthropic flip BTC by December 31?
YES 68c
$202K
Will Fomo launch a token by December 31 2026?
NO 90c
$198K
Will Pump.fun perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026
NO 80c
$186K
Will Axiom launch a token by December 31, 2026?
NO 92c
$181K
Will Arc launch a token by December 31 2026?
NO 90c
$176K
Will Predict.fun launch a token by December 31, 2026?
YES 82c
$156K
Opensea FDV above $100M one day after launch?
NO 86c
$152K
Ink FDV above $100M one day after launch?
NO 70c
$146K
Ink FDV above $250M one day after launch?
NO 72c
$145K
Will Solana reach $180 by December 31, 2026?
NO 84c
$143K
Will Solana reach $160 by December 31, 2026?
NO 72c
$141K
Another S&P 500 Company buys Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?
NO 83c
$138K
Reya FDV above $200M one day after launch?
NO 83c
$138K
Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027?
NO 78c
$130K
Will Ethereum hit $1,000 or $3,000 first?
NO 78c
$111K
Will Artificial Inu be the first to hit a $1B FDV?
NO 88c
$108K
Over $1B raised on Coinbase in 2026?
NO 89c
$104K
Will Solana hit $60 or $140 first?
NO 76c
$102K
Trump, Putin, and Zelensky seen together before 2027?
NO 94c
$102K
Will Loopscale launch a token by December 31, 2026?
NO 87c
$99K
Theo FDV above $100M one day after launch?
NO 62c
$96K
Opensea FDV above $300M one day after launch?
NO 88c
$91K
Metamask FDV above $300M one day after launch?
NO 95c
$89K
Reya FDV above $150M one day after launch?
NO 76c
$89K
Will Extended launch a token by December 31 2026?
YES 69c
$88K
Brian Armstrong out as Coinbase CEO before 2027?
NO 91c
$86K
Will Jumper launch a token by December 31, 2026?
YES 88c
$80K
Will BULK launch a token by December 31, 2026?
NO 90c
$80K
Will Solana reach $200 by December 31, 2026?
NO 92c
$78K
Hyperbeat FDV above $50M one day after launch?
NO 91c
$78K
Will none of these coins hit a $1B FDV?
YES 86c
$75K
Record crypto liquidation in 2026?
NO 92c
$71K
Will Oro launch a token by December 31, 2026?
NO 90c
$69K
Metamask FDV above $100M one day after launch?
NO 94c
$69K
Will Revolut launch a USD stablecoin in 2026?
NO 78c
$67K
US national Bitcoin reserve before 2027?
NO 95c
$65K
Over $600M raised on Coinbase in 2026?
NO 67c
$63K
Will The Netherlands recognize Palestine before 2027?
NO 90c
$63K
Over $200M raised on Coinbase in 2026?
NO 54c
$63K
Will Felix Protocol launch a token by December 31, 2026?
NO 85c
$63K
Over $400M raised on Coinbase in 2026?
NO 62c
$59K
Will prjx launch a token by December 31, 2026?
NO 89c
$58K
Will Propr launch a token by December 31, 2026?
NO 72c
$56K
Trump, Putin, and Zelensky meet together before 2027?
NO 94c
$53K
Will Justin Gaethje be the UFC Lightweight Champion on December 31, 2026?
YES 90c
$51K

Browse by category

Politics
43 with a verdict · 133 tracked
US elections, impeachment odds, global leaders
Sports
1 with a verdict · 61 tracked
NBA Finals, World Cup 2026, Champions League, F1
Geopolitics
46 with a verdict · 128 tracked
Regime change, ceasefire timelines, sanctions
Crypto
8 with a verdict · 96 tracked
Bitcoin price targets, ETF approvals, DeFi events
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18 with a verdict · 58 tracked
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31 with a verdict · 1584 tracked
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