As of November 9, 2026, Polymarket prices “Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 in November?” at 24% YES with $64K traded. No tracked wallet holds a position on this market, so there is no verdict.
Ethereum’s rebound above $2,000 suggests near-term strength toward $2,150 resistance, making a November dip to $1,800 less likely at 24% odds.
Ethereum traded near $2,272 in late October, down 15.4% from October 1, while bitcoin fell only 5.6% over the same period, compressing the ETH/BTC ratio to 0.0288. The underperformance coincided with roughly $3 billion in outflows from DeFi protocols, and BlackRock's fund shed 580,145 ETH, with BitMine absorbing only a fraction of that supply. Analysts flagged that a dip below the $2,313 low could open the path toward $1,800, with the June low of $1,505 as a deeper floor. [24/7 Wall St., Oct 23]
The $1,800 level has already been tested this year. In early June, ether changed hands around $1,745, down more than 7% on the day, breaking below the $1,800 support that had held through earlier dips amid a broad crypto selloff. Standard Chartered cut its Ethereum target by 47% following the move, though the bank kept its longer path intact, still modeling ETH at $40,000 by 2030. The breakdown matters because it establishes $1,800 as a proven pivot rather than a theoretical floor. [BeInCrypto, Jun 04]
Momentum remains bearish. FXEmpire noted that rebounds above $2,000 are expected given the psychological threshold, but that volume could only ignite a short-lived bounce toward $2,150 resistance, with odds favoring bears and a continued move toward $1,800 over the next few days, especially if oil prices keep rising. Longer-horizon forecasts frame the $1,600–$1,800 band as a "buy the dip" range for 2026, meaning any ethereum dip to $1,800 in November would land squarely in territory long-term holders have marked as accumulation. Whether ETH reaches that level hinges on whether $2,313 gives way first. [FXEmpire, Mar 31]
None of the 166 tracked wallets holds a position here, so the Radar makes no call — price, volume and news above are live. When a tracked wallet takes a position, this page gets a verdict.
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