Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Q: What are the current odds for 'Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?'?

As of July 2026, prediction markets price this at 79% YES on Polymarket with $213K in total trading volume.

YES

79c

21c

Prediction markets put the probability at 78%: Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election. Currently, markets see this as likely (78% YES).

Up from 66% to 79% since 2026-04-30 (+13pp)

Traded on Polymarket — $213K Volume

Polymarket prices this at 79c YES with $213K in volume. Moderate liquidity — use limit orders for positions above $1K to avoid moving the price.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What are the current odds for Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

As of July 2026, Polymarket prices this at 79% YES with $213K in total volume.

Where can I bet on Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

This market is available on Polymarket (crypto-native, global access via USDC). OddsShift tracks prices and smart money positioning in real time.