Will Green Party win a mayorship in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?

Q: What are the current odds for 'Will Green Party win a mayorship in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?'?

As of May 2026, prediction markets price this at 90% YES on Polymarket with $51K in total trading volume.

YES

90c

10c

Prediction markets put the probability at 88%: Will Green Party win a mayorship in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections. Currently, markets see this as likely (88% YES). The Green Party of England and Wales is pledging to create "affordable" leases for local businesses, as part of its plan to revive high streets.

Up from 88% to 90% since 2026-04-29 (+2pp)

Traded on Polymarket — $51K Volume

Lower-volume market on Polymarket ($51K). Wider spreads expected — enter with limit orders and be aware of slippage risk. Currently 90c YES.

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Last updated: April 29, 2026, 22:06 UTC

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Frequently Asked Questions

What are the current odds for Will Green Party win a mayorship in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?

As of May 2026, Polymarket prices this at 90% YES with $51K in total volume.

Where can I bet on Will Green Party win a mayorship in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?

This market is available on Polymarket (crypto-native, global access via USDC). OddsShift tracks prices and smart money positioning in real time.