Geopolitics
Resolves: Dec 2026 6 months left Volume: $161K

Will Israel reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026?

NO
95c
YES
5c

Prediction markets put the probability at 5%: Will Israel reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026. Currently, markets see this as unlikely (5% YES). It's Time for Cyrus Accords Between Iran and Israel.

Down from 9% to 5% since 2026-05-09 (-4pp)

Traded on Polymarket — $161K Volume

Polymarket prices this at 5c YES with $161K in volume. Moderate liquidity — use limit orders for positions above $1K to avoid moving the price.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What are the current odds for Will Israel reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026?

As of June 2026, Polymarket prices this at 5% YES with $161K in total volume.

Where can I bet on Will Israel reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026?

This market is available on Polymarket (crypto-native, global access via USDC). OddsShift tracks prices and smart money positioning in real time.