Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by December 31
NO
87c
YES
13c
As of September 1, 2026, Polymarket prices “Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by December 31” at 13% YES with $517K traded. No tracked wallet holds a position on this market, so there is no verdict.
Prediction markets put the probability at 11%: Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by December 31. Currently, markets see this as unlikely (11% YES). Lebanese Prime Minister Nawaf Salam assured that the army would submit a monthly report to the cabinet regarding its progress south of the Litani.
OddsShift analysis: up to 5 AI models + 166 tracked wallets on every market with smart-money data. Verdict track record published on the accuracy page.
No verdict on this market
None of the 166 tracked wallets holds a position here, so the Radar makes no call — price, volume and news above are live.
When a tracked wallet takes a position, this page gets a verdict.