Was the AI verdict correct?

AI consensus leaned YES with MODERATE conviction (6 of 7 models agreed). Outcome matched the consensus direction.

Other

Resolved: May 20, 2026 Closed at $1.00 YES Final volume: $123.4K

Will Keisha Lance Bottoms win the 2026 Georgia Governor Democratic primary election?

Q: How did 'Will Keisha Lance Bottoms win the 2026 Georgia Governor Democratic primary election?' resolve?

The market resolved YES on May 20, 2026. YES redeemed at $1.00 per share.

Resolved · MAY 20

YES

100c

Market resolved YES at $1.00. AI consensus leaned YES — 6 of 7 models agreed with MODERATE conviction. Outcome confirmed the consensus direction.

MODERATE RESULT

YES WON 100c

AI consensus leaned YES with MODERATE conviction — 6 of 7 models agreed. Outcome confirmed: YES won at $1.00.

Stop Loss Target Final

5 of 5 Models Agreed: YES — Outcome Matched

Model	Said	Fair Value estimated fair price of YES	Confidence
PIN Model	YES	92c	84%
Compound Signal	YES	70c	40%
DeepSeek Quant	YES	81c	72%
Gemini Flash	YES	82c	75%
Kimi Macro	YES	84c	80%

Aggregate fair-value estimate: 82c YES. Outcome confirmed: market resolved at 100c YES / 0c NO.

1 Active Wallets on This Market

We tracked 1 wallet with positions above $1K on this market. YES wallets entered between 75c.

Wallet	Category	Side	Amount	P&L
0xde04..37	Retail	YES	$1.1K	+5%
This Market Entered at 75c → now 50c (+5%), $1.1K on YES Activity · 18 events · Feb 18 → May 06 DatePositionAmountTotal Feb 18BUYYES72+$12$12 Feb 24BUYYES67+$13$24 Mar 06BUYYES75+$32$58 Mar 16BUYYES70+$422$476 Mar 17BUYYES74+$74$576 Mar 18BUYYES78+$41$650 Mar 31BUYYES79+$8$665 Apr 03BUYYES76+$31$671 Apr 05BUYYES78+$51$740 Apr 09BUYYES77+$64$798 Apr 14BUYYES72+$90$837 Apr 15BUYYES64+$96$840 Apr 22BUYYES78+$154$1,165 Apr 27BUYYES77+$41$1,199 Apr 29BUYYES70+$38$1,121 Apr 30BUYYES65+$35$1,087 May 01BUYYES68+$562$1,700 May 06BUYYES87+$408$2,570 Realized— Unrealized+$121 Total Profit+$121 Wallet Type Active retail with decent track record (100% over 1136 trades).

See all 87 tracked wallets → · Learn about copy trading →

100% of Tracked YES Positions Closed in Profit

Tracked alpha wallets held YES at the last snapshot. YES redeemed at $1.00 when the market closed. Combined realized P&L: +$361 on $1.1K capital deployed (avg +33.1%).

Profit/Loss by Side (final)

YES positions

100% in profit

NO positions

0% no exposure

Price History — Polymarket

Platform	Last YES Price	Volume	Final
Polymarket	84c	$123.4K	100c
AI Consensus	82c	—	✓ matched

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