Geopolitics
Resolves: Dec 2026 8 months left Volume: $888K

Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?

NO
86c
YES
14c

Prediction markets give a 14% probability to: will maría corina machado be the leader of venezuela end of 2026?.

Currently at 14%

Traded on Polymarket — $888K Volume

Polymarket prices this at 14c YES with $888K in volume. Moderate liquidity — use limit orders for positions above $1K to avoid moving the price.

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Last updated: April 14, 2026, 13:19 UTC
OddsShift analysis: 5 AI models + 1 tracked wallets. Track record: 12/12 correct directional calls across 12 resolved markets.
PRO Analysis

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MODERATE OUR VERDICT
BUY YES 14c

Smart money entered YES at 18c.

+300% TARGET YIELD
8c
87c
100c
14c
Stop Loss Current Target Fair Value

1 Active Wallets on This Market

We tracked 1 wallet with positions above $1K on this market. YES wallets entered between 18c.

WalletCategorySideAmountP&L
0xbacd..35MMYES$2.0K-26%
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No Positions Are Currently in Profit

YES wallets entered between 18c. At current price 14c, none of the NO holders are profitable vs none of the YES holders are profitable. Both sides have similar profitability — no structural edge.

YES positions
0% in profit
NO positions
0% in profit

Polymarket: 14c YES — $888K Volume

Polymarket prices YES at 14c with $888K in total volume. Our model estimates fair value at 14c. Model and market are aligned — no pricing discrepancy detected.

PlatformYES PriceVolume
Polymarket14c$888K
Our Model14c

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Frequently Asked Questions

What are the current odds for Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026??
As of April 2026, Polymarket prices this at 14% YES with $888K in total volume.
Where can I bet on Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026??
This market is available on Polymarket (crypto-native, global access via USDC). OddsShift tracks prices and smart money positioning in real time.
What does smart money say about Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026??
OddsShift tracks 1 smart money wallet on this market. Dominant position: YES. Smart money wallets are selected based on historical profitability across Polymarket.