Will Mishal Al-Ahmad Al-Jaber Al-Sabah sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?
NO
90c
YES
10c
Prediction markets put the probability at 10%: Will Mishal Al-Ahmad Al-Jaber Al-Sabah sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31. Currently, markets see this as unlikely (10% YES).
Price has been stable at 10% since 2026-06-21
Traded on Polymarket — $82K Volume
Lower-volume market on Polymarket ($82K). Wider spreads expected — enter with limit orders and be aware of slippage risk. Currently 10c YES.