Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?

Q: What are the current odds for 'Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?'?

As of July 2026, prediction markets price this at 34% YES on Polymarket with $1.8M in total trading volume.

66c

YES

34c

Prediction markets put the probability at 33%: Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election. Currently, markets are divided (33% YES, 67% NO).

Up from 30% to 34% since 2026-05-02 (+4pp)

Traded on Polymarket — $1.8M Volume

Active market on Polymarket with $1.8M in total volume. Sufficient liquidity for most position sizes. Currently priced at 34c YES.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What are the current odds for Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?

As of July 2026, Polymarket prices this at 34% YES with $1.8M in total volume.

Where can I bet on Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?

This market is available on Polymarket (crypto-native, global access via USDC). OddsShift tracks prices and smart money positioning in real time.