Will Parti libéral du Québec win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election?
NO
75c
YES
25c
Prediction markets put the probability at 26%: Will Parti libéral du Québec win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election. Currently, markets see this as unlikely (26% YES). Republicans are entering the 2026 midterms with a 218-214 majority in the House, with three seats currently vacant.
Down from 38% to 25% since 2026-04-17 (-13pp)
Traded on Polymarket — $62K Volume
Lower-volume market on Polymarket ($62K). Wider spreads expected — enter with limit orders and be aware of slippage risk. Currently 25c YES.