Politics
Resolves: Oct 2026 3 months left Volume: $62K

Will Parti libéral du Québec win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election?

NO
75c
YES
25c

Prediction markets put the probability at 26%: Will Parti libéral du Québec win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election. Currently, markets see this as unlikely (26% YES). Republicans are entering the 2026 midterms with a 218-214 majority in the House, with three seats currently vacant.

Down from 38% to 25% since 2026-04-17 (-13pp)

Traded on Polymarket — $62K Volume

Lower-volume market on Polymarket ($62K). Wider spreads expected — enter with limit orders and be aware of slippage risk. Currently 25c YES.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What are the current odds for Will Parti libéral du Québec win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election?

As of June 2026, Polymarket prices this at 25% YES with $62K in total volume.

Where can I bet on Will Parti libéral du Québec win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election?

This market is available on Polymarket (crypto-native, global access via USDC). OddsShift tracks prices and smart money positioning in real time.