Will Parti libéral du Québec win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election?

Q: What are the current odds for 'Will Parti libéral du Québec win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election?'?

As of July 2026, prediction markets price this at 12% YES on Polymarket with $95K in total trading volume.

88c

YES

12c

Prediction markets put the probability at 26%: Will Parti libéral du Québec win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election. Currently, markets see this as unlikely (26% YES). Republicans are entering the 2026 midterms with a 218-214 majority in the House, with three seats currently vacant.

Down from 36% to 12% since 2026-05-02 (-24pp)

Traded on Polymarket — $95K Volume

Lower-volume market on Polymarket ($95K). Wider spreads expected — enter with limit orders and be aware of slippage risk. Currently 12c YES.

Trade this market on Polymarket →

OddsShift analysis: 5 AI models + 162 tracked wallets. Track record: 12/12 correct directional calls across 12 resolved markets.

PRO Analysis

What does smart money think? Get AI verdicts, wallet positioning, signal analysis, and entry targets.

Full AI Analysis Available on PRO Markets

OddsShift runs mathematical + AI models and tracks 166 smart money wallets. Get BUY/SELL verdicts, entry targets, wallet positions, and P&L data.

Deep Analysis — Politics Markets

These Politics markets have full AI verdicts, smart money tracking, and 5-model analysis:

See all 107 analyzed markets →

Related Markets

Frequently Asked Questions

What are the current odds for Will Parti libéral du Québec win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election?

As of July 2026, Polymarket prices this at 12% YES with $95K in total volume.

Where can I bet on Will Parti libéral du Québec win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election?

This market is available on Polymarket (crypto-native, global access via USDC). OddsShift tracks prices and smart money positioning in real time.