How did 'Will Putin visit China by May 31?' resolve?

The market resolved YES on May 20, 2026. YES redeemed at $1.00 per share.

Was the AI verdict correct?

AI consensus leaned YES with MODERATE conviction (5 of 5 models agreed). Outcome matched the consensus direction.

Other

Resolved: May 20, 2026 Closed at $1.00 YES Final volume: $923.3K

Will Putin visit China by May 31?

Resolved · MAY 20

YES

100c

Market resolved YES at $1.00. AI consensus leaned YES — 5 of 5 models agreed with MODERATE conviction. Outcome confirmed the consensus direction.

MODERATE RESULT

YES WON 100c

AI consensus leaned YES with MODERATE conviction — 5 of 5 models agreed. Outcome confirmed: YES won at $1.00.

Stop Loss Target Final

5 of 5 Models Agreed: YES — Outcome Matched

Model	Said	Fair Value estimated fair price of YES	Confidence
PIN Model	YES	96c	92%
Compound Signal	YES	73c	46%
DeepSeek Quant	YES	84c	65%
Gemini Flash	YES	85c	65%
Kimi Macro	YES	91c	85%

Aggregate fair-value estimate: 86c YES. Outcome confirmed: market resolved at 100c YES / 0c NO.

1 Active Wallets on This Market

We tracked 1 wallet with positions above $1K on this market. YES wallets entered between 81c.

Wallet	Category	Side	Amount	P&L
0xeec5..fe	Retail	YES	$2.1K	+15%
This Market Entered at 81c → now 50c (+15%), $2.1K on YES Activity · 8 events · Apr 02 → May 14 DatePositionAmountTotal Apr 02BUYYES46+$77$77 Apr 02SELLYES65−$50$61 May 07BUYYES79+$6$79 May 09BUYYES68+$5$74 May 11BUYYES78+$94$178 May 12BUYYES76+$574$747 May 13BUYYES86+$472$1,316 May 14BUYYES92+$600$2,016 Realized+$15 Unrealized+$293 Total Profit+$308 Wallet Type Active retail with decent track record (100% over 1528 trades).

See all 87 tracked wallets → · Learn about copy trading →

100% of Tracked YES Positions Closed in Profit

Tracked alpha wallets held YES at the last snapshot. YES redeemed at $1.00 when the market closed. Combined realized P&L: +$495 on $2.1K capital deployed (avg +24.0%).

Profit/Loss by Side (final)

YES positions

100% in profit

NO positions

0% no exposure

Price History — Polymarket

Platform	Last YES Price	Volume	Final
Polymarket	94c	$923.3K	100c
AI Consensus	86c	—	✓ matched

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