Will Renan Santos finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
YES
62c
NO
38c
Prediction markets put the probability at 62%: Will Renan Santos finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election. Currently, markets are divided (62% YES, 38% NO).
Up from 34% to 62% since 2026-05-02 (+28pp)
Traded on Polymarket — $164K Volume
Polymarket prices this at 62c YES with $164K in volume. Moderate liquidity — use limit orders for positions above $1K to avoid moving the price.