Geopolitics
Resolves: Oct 2026 34 days left Volume: $51K

Will Russia capture all of Chasiv Yar by September 30?

NO
70c
YES
30c

Prediction markets put the probability at 30%: Will Russia capture all of Chasiv Yar by September 30. Currently, markets see this as unlikely (30% YES).

Currently at 30%

Traded on Polymarket — $51K Volume

Lower-volume market on Polymarket ($51K). Wider spreads expected — enter with limit orders and be aware of slippage risk. Currently 30c YES.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What are the current odds for Will Russia capture all of Chasiv Yar by September 30?

As of August 2026, Polymarket prices this at 30% YES with $51K in total volume.

Where can I bet on Will Russia capture all of Chasiv Yar by September 30?

This market is available on Polymarket (crypto-native, global access via USDC). OddsShift tracks prices and smart money positioning in real time.