Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?

Q: What are the current odds for 'Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?'?

As of June 2026, prediction markets price this at 56% YES on Polymarket with $221K in total trading volume.

YES

56c

44c

Prediction markets put the probability at 56%: Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026. Currently, markets are divided (56% YES, 44% NO). Russia is still inching forward in eastern Ukraine, but experts say claims of progress are exaggerated.

Currently at 56%

Traded on Polymarket — $221K Volume

Polymarket prices this at 56c YES with $221K in volume. Moderate liquidity — use limit orders for positions above $1K to avoid moving the price.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What are the current odds for Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?

As of June 2026, Polymarket prices this at 56% YES with $221K in total volume.

Where can I bet on Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?

This market is available on Polymarket (crypto-native, global access via USDC). OddsShift tracks prices and smart money positioning in real time.