Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?
YES
56c
NO
44c
Prediction markets put the probability at 56%: Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026. Currently, markets are divided (56% YES, 44% NO).
Currently at 56%
Traded on Polymarket — $470K Volume
Polymarket prices this at 56c YES with $470K in volume. Moderate liquidity — use limit orders for positions above $1K to avoid moving the price.