Will Russia capture all of Lyman by December 31, 2026?

Q: What are the current odds for 'Will Russia capture all of Lyman by December 31, 2026?'?

As of July 2026, prediction markets price this at 16% YES on Polymarket with $217K in total trading volume.

84c

YES

16c

Prediction markets put the probability at 15%: Will Russia capture all of Lyman by December 31, 2026. Currently, markets see this as unlikely (15% YES).

Down from 38% to 16% since 2026-05-02 (-22pp)

Traded on Polymarket — $217K Volume

Polymarket prices this at 16c YES with $217K in volume. Moderate liquidity — use limit orders for positions above $1K to avoid moving the price.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What are the current odds for Will Russia capture all of Lyman by December 31, 2026?

As of July 2026, Polymarket prices this at 16% YES with $217K in total volume.

Where can I bet on Will Russia capture all of Lyman by December 31, 2026?

This market is available on Polymarket (crypto-native, global access via USDC). OddsShift tracks prices and smart money positioning in real time.