Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?

Q: What are the current odds for 'Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?'?

As of June 2026, prediction markets price this at 90% YES on Polymarket with $600K in total trading volume.

YES

90c

10c

Prediction markets put the probability at 90%: Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026. Currently, markets see this as likely (90% YES).

Down from 92% to 90% since 2026-06-19 (-2pp)

Traded on Polymarket — $600K Volume

Polymarket prices this at 90c YES with $600K in volume. Moderate liquidity — use limit orders for positions above $1K to avoid moving the price.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What are the current odds for Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?

As of June 2026, Polymarket prices this at 90% YES with $600K in total volume.

Where can I bet on Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?

This market is available on Polymarket (crypto-native, global access via USDC). OddsShift tracks prices and smart money positioning in real time.