Will Sheikh Tamim bin Hamad Al Thani sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?
NO
92c
YES
8c
Prediction markets put the probability at 9%: Will Sheikh Tamim bin Hamad Al Thani sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31. Currently, markets see this as unlikely (9% YES). Trump signals he could send details of Iran deal to Congress.
Price has been stable at 8% since 2026-06-21
Traded on Polymarket — $83K Volume
Lower-volume market on Polymarket ($83K). Wider spreads expected — enter with limit orders and be aware of slippage risk. Currently 8c YES.