Geopolitics
Resolves: Aug 2026 38 days left Volume: $83K

Will Sheikh Tamim bin Hamad Al Thani sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?

NO
92c
YES
8c

Prediction markets put the probability at 9%: Will Sheikh Tamim bin Hamad Al Thani sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31. Currently, markets see this as unlikely (9% YES). Trump signals he could send details of Iran deal to Congress.

Price has been stable at 8% since 2026-06-21

Traded on Polymarket — $83K Volume

Lower-volume market on Polymarket ($83K). Wider spreads expected — enter with limit orders and be aware of slippage risk. Currently 8c YES.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What are the current odds for Will Sheikh Tamim bin Hamad Al Thani sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?

As of June 2026, Polymarket prices this at 8% YES with $83K in total volume.

Where can I bet on Will Sheikh Tamim bin Hamad Al Thani sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?

This market is available on Polymarket (crypto-native, global access via USDC). OddsShift tracks prices and smart money positioning in real time.