Will Starmer officially leave office by July 17?

As of June 2026, prediction markets price this at 7% YES on Polymarket with $55K in total trading volume.

93c

YES

Prediction markets put the probability at 7%: Will Starmer officially leave office by July 17. Currently, markets see this as unlikely (7% YES).

Currently at 7%

Traded on Polymarket — $55K Volume

Lower-volume market on Polymarket ($55K). Wider spreads expected — enter with limit orders and be aware of slippage risk. Currently 7c YES.

OddsShift analysis: 5 AI models + 162 tracked wallets. Track record: 12/12 correct directional calls across 12 resolved markets.

PRO Analysis

What does smart money think? Get AI verdicts, wallet positioning, signal analysis, and entry targets.

OddsShift runs mathematical + AI models and tracks 166 smart money wallets. Get BUY/SELL verdicts, entry targets, wallet positions, and P&L data.

These Politics markets have full AI verdicts, smart money tracking, and 5-model analysis:

As of June 2026, Polymarket prices this at 7% YES with $55K in total volume.

This market is available on Polymarket (crypto-native, global access via USDC). OddsShift tracks prices and smart money positioning in real time.