Will Steve Witkoff attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?
NO
90c
YES
10c
Prediction markets put the probability at 16%: Will Steve Witkoff attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony. Currently, markets see this as unlikely (16% YES). Israeli strikes kill 22 in Lebanon, putting US-Iran peace talks in peril.
Down from 16% to 10% since 2026-06-21 (-6pp)
Traded on Polymarket — $59K Volume
Lower-volume market on Polymarket ($59K). Wider spreads expected — enter with limit orders and be aware of slippage risk. Currently 10c YES.