Will the Democratic Party win the CA-15 House seat?
YES
94c
NO
6c
Prediction markets put the probability at 94%: Will the Democratic Party win the CA-15 House seat. Currently, markets see this as likely (94% YES). California 14th Congressional District 2026: Latest Polls.
Price has been stable at 94% since 2026-04-14
Traded on Polymarket — $97K Volume
Lower-volume market on Polymarket ($97K). Wider spreads expected — enter with limit orders and be aware of slippage risk. Currently 94c YES.