Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.75% or higher before 2027?
NO
95c
YES
5c
Prediction markets put the probability at 5%: Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.75% or higher before 2027. Currently, markets see this as unlikely (5% YES). Fed Rate-Hike Bets Mount Before Inflation Data, Warsh Testimony.
Price has been stable at 5% since 2026-04-09
Traded on Polymarket — $79K Volume
Lower-volume market on Polymarket ($79K). Wider spreads expected — enter with limit orders and be aware of slippage risk. Currently 5c YES.