Economics
Resolves: Dec 2026 5 months left Volume: $79K

Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.75% or higher before 2027?

NO
95c
YES
5c

Prediction markets put the probability at 5%: Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.75% or higher before 2027. Currently, markets see this as unlikely (5% YES). Fed Rate-Hike Bets Mount Before Inflation Data, Warsh Testimony.

Price has been stable at 5% since 2026-04-09

Traded on Polymarket — $79K Volume

Lower-volume market on Polymarket ($79K). Wider spreads expected — enter with limit orders and be aware of slippage risk. Currently 5c YES.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What are the current odds for Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.75% or higher before 2027?

As of July 2026, Polymarket prices this at 5% YES with $79K in total volume.

Where can I bet on Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.75% or higher before 2027?

This market is available on Polymarket (crypto-native, global access via USDC). OddsShift tracks prices and smart money positioning in real time.