Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland by September 30, 2026?
NO
84c
YES
16c
Prediction markets put the probability at 16%: Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland by September 30, 2026. Currently, markets see this as unlikely (16% YES). Trump seeks $88 bn in extra funding, mostly for Iran war.
Down from 26% to 16% since 2026-06-28 (-10pp)
Traded on Polymarket — $478K Volume
Polymarket prices this at 16c YES with $478K in volume. Moderate liquidity — use limit orders for positions above $1K to avoid moving the price.