Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?
NO
90c
YES
10c
Prediction markets put the probability at 10%: Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026. Currently, markets see this as unlikely (10% YES). Vehicles drive past a billboard with graphic showing Strait of Hormuz and sewn lips of U.S.
Currently at 10%
Traded on Polymarket — $55K Volume
Lower-volume market on Polymarket ($55K). Wider spreads expected — enter with limit orders and be aware of slippage risk. Currently 10c YES.