Geopolitics
Resolves: May 2026 21 days left Volume: $55K

Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?

NO
90c
YES
10c

Prediction markets put the probability at 10%: Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026. Currently, markets see this as unlikely (10% YES). Vehicles drive past a billboard with graphic showing Strait of Hormuz and sewn lips of U.S.

Currently at 10%

Traded on Polymarket — $55K Volume

Lower-volume market on Polymarket ($55K). Wider spreads expected — enter with limit orders and be aware of slippage risk. Currently 10c YES.

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Last updated: May 08, 2026, 22:06 UTC
OddsShift analysis: 5 AI models + 162 tracked wallets. Track record: 12/12 correct directional calls across 12 resolved markets.
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Frequently Asked Questions

What are the current odds for Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?

As of May 2026, Polymarket prices this at 10% YES with $55K in total volume.

Where can I bet on Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?

This market is available on Polymarket (crypto-native, global access via USDC). OddsShift tracks prices and smart money positioning in real time.