Will there be between 40 and 60 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on June 30?

Q: What are the current odds for 'Will there be between 40 and 60 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on June 30?'?

As of June 2026, prediction markets price this at 54% YES on Polymarket with $54K in total trading volume.

Q: What does smart money say about 'Will there be between 40 and 60 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on June 30?'?

OddsShift tracks 1 smart money wallets on this market. The dominant position among tracked wallets is NO. Smart money wallets are selected based on historical profitability and win rate across Polymarket.

YES

54c

46c

Prediction markets give a 54% probability to: will there be between 40 and 60 average daily transits of the strait of hormuz on june 30?.

Currently at 54%

Traded on Polymarket — $54K Volume

Lower-volume market on Polymarket ($54K). Wider spreads expected — enter with limit orders and be aware of slippage risk. Currently 54c YES.

Trade this market on Polymarket →

OddsShift analysis: 5 AI models + 1 tracked wallets. Track record: 12/12 correct directional calls across 12 resolved markets.

MODERATE OUR VERDICT

BUY NO 46c

Smart money positioned NO.

Stop Loss Current Target Fair Value

1 Active Wallets on This Market

We tracked 1 wallet with positions above $1K on this market.

Wallet	Category	Side	Amount	P&L
0x0845..6f	MM	YES	$2.2K	+55%
This Market Entered at 35c → now 54c (+55%), $2.2K on YES Activity · 1 event · Jun 25 DatePositionAmountTotal Jun 25BUYYES35+$1,428$1,428 Realized— Unrealized+$790 Total Profit+$790 Wallet Type Market maker — provides liquidity on both sides. High trade count (1176) is standard for automated market making, not directional conviction.

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All YES Positions Are in Profit

YES wallets entered between 35c. At current price 54c, all YES holders are profitable while all NO buyers are underwater. Profitable positions rarely sell early — YES side has structural price support.

Profit/Loss by Side

YES positions

100% in profit

NO positions

0% in profit

Polymarket and Kalshi Disagree by 0 Cents

Both platforms price YES identically at 54c. No cross-platform arbitrage opportunity. Our model estimates fair value at 54c.

Platform	YES Price	Volume
Polymarket	54c	$54K
Kalshi	54c	—
Our Model	54c	—

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Frequently Asked Questions

What are the current odds for Will there be between 40 and 60 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on June 30?

As of June 2026, Polymarket prices this at 54% YES with $54K in total volume.

Where can I bet on Will there be between 40 and 60 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on June 30?

This market is available on Polymarket (crypto-native, global access via USDC). OddsShift tracks prices and smart money positioning in real time.

What does smart money say about Will there be between 40 and 60 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on June 30?

OddsShift tracks 1 smart money wallet on this market. Dominant position: NO. Smart money wallets are selected based on historical profitability across Polymarket.