Will US crude oil reserves fall to 375M by May 1?

Q: What are the current odds for 'Will US crude oil reserves fall to 375M by May 1?'?

As of April 2026, prediction markets price this at 6% YES on Polymarket with $94K in total trading volume.

Q: What does smart money say about 'Will US crude oil reserves fall to 375M by May 1?'?

OddsShift tracks 1 smart money wallets on this market. The dominant position among tracked wallets is NO. Smart money wallets are selected based on historical profitability and win rate across Polymarket.

94c

YES

Prediction markets give a 6% probability to: will us crude oil reserves fall to 375m by may 1?.

Currently at 6%

Traded on Polymarket — $94K Volume

Lower-volume market on Polymarket ($94K). Wider spreads expected — enter with limit orders and be aware of slippage risk. Currently 6c YES.

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Last updated: April 14, 2026, 13:19 UTC

OddsShift analysis: 5 AI models + 1 tracked wallets. Track record: 12/12 correct directional calls across 12 resolved markets.

PRO Analysis

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CONFLICTING OUR VERDICT

HOLD

Smart money entered NO at 21c. 100% of NO wallets in profit.

— TARGET YIELD

1 Active Wallets on This Market

We tracked 1 wallet with positions above $1K on this market. NO wallets entered between 21c.

Wallet	Category	Side	Amount	P&L
0x0845..6f	MM	NO	$2.7K	+343%
This Market Entered at 21c → now 94c (+343%), $2.7K on NO Track Record 21d on platform · 1066 trades · geopolitics specialist AI Insight Market maker — provides liquidity on both sides. High trade count (1066) is standard for automated market making, not directional conviction.

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All NO Positions Are in Profit

NO wallets entered at 21c. At current price 6c, all YES buyers are underwater while all NO holders are profitable. Profitable positions rarely sell early — NO side has structural price support.

Profit/Loss by Side

YES positions

0% in profit

NO positions

100% in profit

Polymarket: 6c YES — $94K Volume

Polymarket prices YES at 6c with $94K in total volume. Our model estimates fair value at 6c. Model and market are aligned — no pricing discrepancy detected.

Platform	YES Price	Volume
Polymarket	6c	$94K
Our Model	6c	—

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Frequently Asked Questions

What are the current odds for Will US crude oil reserves fall to 375M by May 1??

As of April 2026, Polymarket prices this at 6% YES with $94K in total volume.

Where can I bet on Will US crude oil reserves fall to 375M by May 1??

This market is available on Polymarket (crypto-native, global access via USDC). OddsShift tracks prices and smart money positioning in real time.

What does smart money say about Will US crude oil reserves fall to 375M by May 1??

OddsShift tracks 1 smart money wallet on this market. Dominant position: NO. Smart money wallets are selected based on historical profitability across Polymarket.