How did 'Gemini 3.5 released by June 30?' resolve?

The market resolved YES on May 19, 2026. YES redeemed at $1.00 per share.

Was the AI verdict correct?

AI consensus leaned NO but the market resolved YES. The verdict did not match the outcome.

Other

Resolved: May 19, 2026 Closed at $1.00 YES Final volume: $382.2K

Gemini 3.5 released by June 30?

Resolved · MAY 19

YES

100c

Market resolved YES at $1.00. AI consensus leaned NO (4 of 5 models agreed) but the outcome went the other way.

MODERATE RESULT

YES WON 100c

AI verdict was HOLD — no directional call. Market resolved YES at $1.00.

DIRECTION WRONG

86c

100c

Stop Loss Target Final

5 of 5 Models Agreed: YES — Outcome Matched

Model	Said	Fair Value estimated fair price of YES	Confidence
PIN Model	YES	98c	96%
Compound Signal	YES	65c	30%
DeepSeek Quant	YES	82c	65%
Gemini Flash	YES	80c	70%
Kimi Macro	YES	84c	85%

Aggregate fair-value estimate: 82c YES. Outcome confirmed: market resolved at 100c YES / 0c NO.

1 Active Wallets on This Market

We tracked 1 wallet with positions above $1K on this market. YES wallets entered between 10c.

Wallet	Category	Side	Amount	P&L
0xdd22..f1	Retail	YES	$1.9K	+111%
This Market Entered at 10c → now 50c (+111%), $1.9K on YES Activity · 2 events · May 13 → May 14 DatePositionAmountTotal May 13BUYYES10+$206$206 May 14SELLYES75−$30$1,526 Realized+$26 Unrealized+$1,667 Total Profit+$1,693 Wallet Type Retail wallet — smaller position, limited trading history.

See all 87 tracked wallets → · Learn about copy trading →

100% of Tracked YES Positions Closed in Profit

Tracked alpha wallets held YES at the last snapshot. YES redeemed at $1.00 when the market closed. Combined realized P&L: +$16,972 on $1.9K capital deployed (avg +908.1%).

Profit/Loss by Side (final)

YES positions

100% in profit

NO positions

0% no exposure

Price History — Polymarket

Platform	Last YES Price	Volume	Final
Polymarket	92c	$382.2K	100c
AI Consensus	82c	—	✓ matched

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