Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31?
NO
95c
YES
5c
As of October 30, 2026, Polymarket prices “Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31?” at 5% YES with $559K traded. 1 tracked wallet holds a position here; the dominant side is NO.
Prediction markets give a 5% probability to: gianni infantino out as fifa president by december 31?.
On this market: 6/7 models independently agree NO — rare convergence. Full verdict track record on the accuracy page.
PRO Analysis
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6 of 7 models estimate NO fair value below market (75–98c vs 95c). Gemini Flash leads with 85% confidence.
Models estimate fair value of NO at 90c — market prices it at 95c. 5-point gap supports YES.
Why One Model Is Uncertain: Claude Analysis at Nonec — not available tonight (Claude CLI session limit or nightly cap)
1 Active Wallets on This Market
The single tracked wallet is positioned entirely NO at 77c, signaling strong confidence that Infantino remains FIFA President through December 31. With no YES entries recorded, there is no countervailing smart-money flow, and the lone NO bettor's entry level implies the market views removal as a remote event.
With YES at 5c, every YES holder is underwater while the sole NO position entered at 77c is sitting on a 23c gain, reinforcing the 5c floor as a near-certainty market. The absence of profitable YES entries means there is no bid-side support to lift the price, so the 5c quote reflects residual tail risk rather than active conviction.
Profit/Loss by Side
YES positions
0%in profit
NO positions
100%in profit
Polymarket: 5c YES — $559K Volume
Polymarket prices YES at 5c with $559K in total volume. Our model estimates fair value at 10c. 5-point gap suggests market may undervalue YES.
What are the current odds for Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31?
As of October 2026, Polymarket prices this at 5% YES with $559K in total volume.
Where can I bet on Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31?
This market is available on Polymarket (crypto-native, global access via USDC). OddsShift tracks prices and smart money positioning in real time.
What does smart money say about Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31?
OddsShift tracks 1 smart money wallet on this market. Dominant position: NO. Smart money wallets are selected based on historical profitability across Polymarket.
What do AI models predict for Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31?
OddsShift runs mathematical + AI models on every alpha market. Current fair value estimate: 10c YES. 6 models agree on direction.
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