Politics: AI verdicts on 43 Polymarket markets
43 politics markets carry an AI verdict — BUY YES, BUY NO or HOLD — because a tracked wallet holds a position; 90 more are tracked with live price and volume only. US elections, impeachment, global leaders.
One verdict per market a tracked wallet holds
3 math models + up to 5 AI models behind it
166 tracked wallets tiered daily by their record
Also tracked — no verdict yet (90)
No tracked wallet holds a position on these markets, so the Radar makes no call; price and volume are live.
Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election?
NO 88c
$4.0M
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
NO 90c
$3.6M
Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?
NO 82c
$2.0M
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election?
NO 88c
$1.9M
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30, 2027?
NO 90c
$586K
Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?
YES 68c
$555K
Will the Republicans win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?
YES 64c
$504K
Will Trump and Putin not meet?
NO 80c
$485K
Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?
NO 84c
$380K
Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election?
NO 72c
$360K
Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election?
YES 90c
$350K
Will the Republicans win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026?
NO 82c
$345K
Will the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?
NO 64c
$326K
Will Kash Patel leave the Trump administration before 2027?
NO 80c
$307K
Lee Jae-myung out as president of South Korea in 2026?
NO 94c
$290K
Will the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?
YES 84c
$284K
Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026?
YES 72c
$271K
Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election?
YES 72c
$263K
Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?
NO 62c
$231K
Will Аndrey Gyurov win the next Bulgarian presidential election?
NO 92c
$231K
Will Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?
YES 59c
$219K
Will the Democrats win the Texas governor race in 2026?
NO 72c
$201K
Trump declares election interference national emergency by December 31?
NO 68c
$201K
Will Bernadette Wilson win the 2026 Alaska governor election?
NO 80c
$188K
Will the Democrats win the Nevada governor race in 2026?
YES 56c
$188K
Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2026?
NO 80c
$187K
Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?
NO 86c
$181K
Aziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026?
YES 91c
$172K
Will the Republicans win the Michigan governor race in 2026?
NO 94c
$167K
Will the Republicans win the Nevada governor race in 2026?
NO 56c
$158K
Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in 2026?
YES 80c
$158K
Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026?
NO 68c
$153K
Will the Democrats win the Ohio governor race in 2026?
YES 67c
$136K
Will Trump visit North Korea by December 31?
NO 92c
$133K
Will Ilija Srdanović be the next prime minister of Serbia?
NO 70c
$128K
Will David Lisnard advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?
NO 86c
$126K
Florentino Perez out as Real Madrid president by December 31, 2026?
NO 95c
$125K
Will the Republicans win the Florida Senate race in 2026?
YES 90c
$119K
Will Luca Niculescu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?
YES 59c
$118K
Will Trump endorse María Corina Machado for Venezuela president in 2026?
NO 94c
$115K
Will Trump's approval rating hit 35% in 2026?
NO 74c
$114K
Will the Democrats win the Minnesota Senate race in 2026?
YES 86c
$112K
Lai Ching-te out as President of Taiwan by December 31, 2026?
NO 95c
$107K
Will Kristi Noem leave the Trump administration before 2027?
NO 66c
$99K
Will Howard Lutnick leave the Trump administration before 2027?
NO 86c
$98K
Will Utah use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?
YES 92c
$96K
Will Trump launch a coin by December 31?
NO 92c
$96K
Will the 2026 United Left primary for the 2027 French presidential election be canceled?
YES 92c
$95K
Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. leave the Trump administration before 2027?
NO 86c
$93K
Ukraine election called by December 31, 2026?
NO 95c
$93K
Will Likud win fewer than 20 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?
NO 82c
$91K
Will the Republicans win the Minnesota Senate race in 2026?
NO 88c
$90K
Will Donald Trump be the #1 searched person on Google in the US this year?
NO 94c
$89K
Will the Republicans win the Montana Senate race in 2026?
YES 92c
$87K
Will Gavin Newsom announce a Presidential run before 2027?
NO 87c
$87K
Will the Republicans win the Idaho Senate race in 2026?
YES 95c
$86K
Will the Democrats win the Georgia governor race in 2026?
YES 50c
$85K
Will Kuomintang (KMT) win the most head of local government elections in the 2026 Taiwan local elections?
YES 88c
$81K
Will Bola Tinubu win the 2027 Nigerian Presidential Election?
YES 71c
$81K
Will Olivia Chow win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election?
YES 81c
$80K
Will the Democrats win the Michigan governor race in 2026?
YES 94c
$78K
Will the Democrats win the Florida Senate race in 2026?
NO 90c
$75K
Will there be another US government shutdown by January 31 and will the Republican Party win the House in 2026?
NO 92c
$75K
Will the Democratic Party win the VA-06 House seat?
NO 93c
$74K
Will the Republicans win the Iowa governor race in 2026?
NO 84c
$74K
Will the Republicans win the Georgia governor race in 2026?
YES 50c
$73K
Will Trump meet with Jair Bolsonaro in 2026?
NO 94c
$73K
Will Trump visit Greenland by December 31?
NO 90c
$71K
Will the Democrats win the Iowa governor race in 2026?
YES 85c
$70K
Will the Republicans win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?
YES 92c
$69K
Will Kamala Harris announce a Presidential run before 2027?
NO 93c
$65K
Will there be another US government shutdown by January 31 and will the Democratic Party win the House in 2026?
YES 92c
$65K
Will Brad Bradford win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election?
NO 83c
$64K
Will the Democrats win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?
NO 92c
$63K
Will Gavin Newsom announce a Presidential run by December 31, 2026?
NO 84c
$63K
Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?
NO 72c
$60K
Will Trump flip the bird again in 2026?
NO 90c
$59K
Will the Democratic Progressive Party (DPP) win the most head of local government elections in the 2026 Taiwan local elections?
NO 89c
$58K
Will Susie Wiles leave the Trump administration before 2027?
NO 84c
$58K
Will the Democratic Party win the VA-05 House seat?
NO 78c
$57K
Will the National Regeneration Movement (Morena) win the most seats in the 2027 Mexico legislative election?
YES 87c
$57K
Will the Republicans win the Arizona governor race in 2026?
NO 90c
$56K
Will Ken Sim win the 2026 Vancouver mayoral election?
NO 66c
$55K
Will the Democratic Party win the OH-07 House seat?
YES 80c
$55K
Mahmoud Abbas out as Palestinian President by December 31?
NO 84c
$54K
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez announce a Presidential run before 2027?
NO 90c
$53K
Will the Republican Party hold fewer than 22 governorships after the 2026 midterm elections?
NO 78c
$52K
Will the Republican Party hold below 190 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?
NO 74c
$52K
Will Trump meet with Changpeng Zhao in 2026?
NO 90c
$51K
Will Assimi Goïta be out as President of Mali by June 30, 2027?
YES 64c
$50K
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