Live odds on 98 political prediction markets — US elections, impeachment, global leaders. Track which candidates smart money is betting on and where AI models see mispricing.
Prediction markets put the probability at 34%: Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán. Currently, markets are divided (34% YES, 66% NO). Exclusive: Orbán challenger Magyar says electi
Prediction markets put the probability at 66%: Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar. Currently, markets are divided (66% YES, 34% NO). Péter Magyar, once a ruling party insider who
Prediction markets put the probability at 16%: Trump out as President before 2027. Currently, markets see this as unlikely (16% YES). Trump Facts First CNN Polls 2026 Elections Redistricting T
Prediction markets put the probability at 42%: Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election. Currently, markets are divided (42% YES, 58% NO).
Prediction markets put the probability at 64%: Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary. Currently, markets are divided (64% YES, 36% NO). Texas’ costly and divisive runoff system could b
Prediction markets put the probability at 38%: Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election. Currently, markets are divided (38% YES, 62% NO).
Prediction markets put the probability at 6%: Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election. Currently, markets see this as unlikely (6% YES).
Prediction markets put the probability at 10%: Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026. Currently, markets see this as unlikely (10% YES).
Prediction markets put the probability at 32%: Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary. Currently, markets are divided (32% YES, 68% NO). Texas’ costly and divisive runoff system could
Prediction markets put the probability at 34%: Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026. Currently, markets are divided (34% YES, 66% NO). California voters are likely to fac
Prediction markets put the probability at 8%: Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026. Currently, markets see this as unlikely (8% YES). | 31.03.2026 | BBC Inside RAF refuelling tanker dur
Prediction markets put the probability at 88%: Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections. Currently, markets see this as likely (88% YES).
Prediction markets put the probability at 12%: Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections. Currently, markets see this as unlikely (12% YES).
Prediction markets put the probability at 16%: Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026. Currently, markets see this as unlikely (16% YES). A long Mideast war could take away from support for
Prediction markets put the probability at 32%: Will Fidesz–KDNP win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election. Currently, markets are divided (32% YES, 68% NO). Hungary election poll
Prediction markets put the probability at 69%: Will TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election. Currently, markets are divided (69% YES,
Prediction markets put the probability at 92%: Will Graham Platner be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine. Currently, markets see this as likely (92% YES). This combination of photos shows Demo
Prediction markets put the probability at 52%: 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House. Currently, markets are divided (52% YES, 48% NO). Election 2026: Poll says Democrats wanted in Congress, Genera
Prediction markets put the probability at 12%: 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House. Currently, markets see this as unlikely (12% YES). Republicans are entering the 2026 midterms with a 218-214 ma
Prediction markets put the probability at 56%: Starmer out by December 31, 2026. Currently, markets are divided (56% YES, 44% NO). UK's Starmer gives doctors' union 48 hours to reconsider pay and work
Prediction markets put the probability at 36%: 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House. Currently, markets are divided (36% YES, 64% NO). Republicans are entering the 2026 midterms with a 218-214 maj
Prediction markets put the probability at 52%: Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections. Currently, markets are divided (52% YES, 48% NO). Election 2026: Poll says
Prediction markets put the probability at 79%: Will Choo Mi-ae win the 2026 Gyeonggi Province Gubernatorial Election. Currently, markets see this as likely (79% YES). Skip to contentSkip to site index
Prediction markets put the probability at 48%: Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections. Currently, markets are divided (48% YES, 52% NO). Skip to contentSkip to s
Prediction markets put the probability at 12%: Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026. Currently, markets see this as unlikely (12% YES). Todd Blanche left a prominent Manhattan law firm to defend a t
Prediction markets put the probability at 10%: Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election. Currently, markets see this as unlikely (10% YES). Keiko Fujimori leads Peru's
Prediction markets put the probability at 10%: Will Oh Se-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election. Currently, markets see this as unlikely (10% YES). Opinion | Always Be Posting: The New Rules for De
Prediction markets put the probability at 5%: Will Park Ju-min win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election. Currently, markets see this as unlikely (5% YES). Cambodia Launches New Financial Sector Strategy To
Prediction markets put the probability at 46%: Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel. Currently, markets are divided (46% YES, 54% NO). Likud backlash leads Netanyahu to replace
Prediction markets put the probability at 26%: Will Carlos Álvarez win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election. Currently, markets see this as unlikely (26% YES). Keiko Fujimori leads Peru's president
Prediction markets put the probability at 26%: Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election. Currently, markets see this as unlikely (26% YES). Keiko Fujimori leads Peru's president
Prediction markets put the probability at 6%: Will Trump resign by December 31, 2026. Currently, markets see this as unlikely (6% YES). In Praise of President Trump's Magnificent Victory Over Iran.
Prediction markets put the probability at 76%: Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election. Currently, markets see this as likely (76% YES). Analysis: Nashville could be in for a competitive
Prediction markets put the probability at 8%: Will Janet Mills be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine. Currently, markets see this as unlikely (8% YES). This combination of photos shows Democra
Prediction markets put the probability at 6%: Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor. Currently, markets see this as unlikely (6% YES). Democratic Chances of Flipping Flori
Prediction markets put the probability at 32%: Miguel Díaz-Canel out as President of Cuba by June 30. Currently, markets are divided (32% YES, 68% NO). Amid ongoing talks between the Trump administrat
Prediction markets put the probability at 84%: Aziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026. Currently, markets see this as likely (84% YES). The Africa Cup of Nations trophy has
Prediction markets put the probability at 91%: Will Byron Donalds be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor. Currently, markets see this as likely (91% YES). Democratic Chances of Flipping Florid
Prediction markets put the probability at 70%: Billionaire one-time wealth tax on California ballot. Currently, markets see this as likely (70% YES). California voters are likely to face a referendum