As of November 5, 2026, Polymarket prices “Josh O'Connor announced as next James Bond?” at 13% YES with $62K traded. No tracked wallet holds a position on this market, so there is no verdict.
Prediction markets put the probability at 13%: Josh O'Connor announced as next James Bond. Currently, markets see this as unlikely (13% YES).
Speculation over the next James Bond intensified in early November 2026 after Page Six reported on Nov. 5 that a co-star of front-runner Josh O'Connor claimed the actor disclosed his casting after a boozy night out in London. The report, which cited loose-lipped pub chatter, said neither Amazon nor EON Productions had commented on the claim. The rumor follows a casting process that began in May 2026, when the studio confirmed it had started its search for a successor to Daniel Craig, who last played Bond in 2021's "No Time to Die," with Nina Gold overseeing casting. [Pagesix, Nov 05]
The claim lands amid a crowded field. On Oct. 22, Puck reported that Amazon MGM Studios had narrowed its list to four actors, with Jack Lowden, Callum Turner and Josh O'Connor named as finalists alongside a mysterious fourth candidate whose identity has not been revealed. Pierce Brosnan, who played Bond in four films from 1995 to 2002, told Vanity Fair on Nov. 4 that he favored Turner, while praising all the candidates. O'Connor, 36, said on Nov. 3 that he was "very honoured" by the speculation linking him to the role. [BBC News, Nov 03]
An announcement on who will replace Craig is expected by the end of the year, according to reporting on the shortlist. The question of whether Josh O'Connor will be announced as the next James Bond therefore remains unresolved, with studio confirmation still pending and the pub-chatter report unverified by Amazon or EON. The next film, referred to as "Bond 26," is in development, and the eventual casting decision will end months of speculation that has drawn in former 007 actors and bookmakers alike. [Euronews, Nov 04]
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