Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026?
NO
76c
YES
24c
As of September 30, 2026, Polymarket prices “Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026?” at 24% YES with $132K traded. 1 tracked wallet holds a position here; the dominant side is NO.
Prediction markets give a 24% probability to: will openai announce another millennium prize solution by december 31, 2026?.
On this market: 6/7 models independently agree NO — rare convergence. Full verdict track record on the accuracy page.
PRO Analysis
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6 of 7 models estimate NO fair value above market (65–98c vs 76c). Claude Analysis leads with 80% confidence.
Models estimate fair value of NO at 85c — market prices it at 76c. 9-point gap supports NO.
Why One Model Disagrees: Grok Contrarian dissents at 38c — Consensus and PIN/math models heavily favor NO at ~18-24% YES due to no prior OpenAI Millennium solves and informed NO flow, but this und...
1 Active Wallets on This Market
The single tracked wallet is positioned exclusively on NO at 69c, signaling conviction that OpenAI will not announce another Millennium Prize solution by the deadline. With no YES entries recorded, the smart-money read is one-sided bearish, and the absence of any YES accumulation suggests limited credible upside catalysts in the near term.
With YES at 24c, every YES position is underwater while all NO entries at 69c are profitable, meaning NO holders have captured a 7c gain as the market repriced toward the downside. This profit cushion on the NO side likely reinforces selling pressure on YES, as there is little incentive to bid up a contract where no tracked wallet is in the green.
Profit/Loss by Side
YES positions
0%in profit
NO positions
100%in profit
Polymarket: 24c YES — $132K Volume
Polymarket prices YES at 24c with $132K in total volume. Our model estimates fair value at 15c. Significant 9-point gap — model sees NO as substantially mispriced.
What are the current odds for Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026?
As of September 2026, Polymarket prices this at 24% YES with $132K in total volume.
Where can I bet on Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026?
This market is available on Polymarket (crypto-native, global access via USDC). OddsShift tracks prices and smart money positioning in real time.
What does smart money say about Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026?
OddsShift tracks 1 smart money wallet on this market. Dominant position: NO. Smart money wallets are selected based on historical profitability across Polymarket.
What do AI models predict for Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026?
OddsShift runs mathematical + AI models on every alpha market. Current fair value estimate: 15c YES. 6 models agree on direction.
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