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Resolves: Dec 2026 4 months left Volume: $56K

Lindsay Clancy convicted of murder?

NO
70c
YES
30c

Prediction markets put the probability at 30%: Lindsay Clancy convicted of murder. Currently, markets see this as unlikely (30% YES).

Currently at 30%

Traded on Polymarket — $56K Volume

Lower-volume market on Polymarket ($56K). Wider spreads expected — enter with limit orders and be aware of slippage risk. Currently 30c YES.

Trade this market on Polymarket →
On this market: 5/6 models independently agree NO — rare convergence. Full verdict track record on the accuracy page.
PRO Analysis

What does smart money think? Get AI verdicts, wallet positioning, signal analysis, and entry targets.

MODERATE OUR VERDICT
BUY NO 71c

5/6 models agree on NO, fair value 27c vs market 30c. Weak edge — consider waiting for stronger signal.

+35% TARGET YIELD
42c
95c
100c
71c
73c
Stop Loss Current Target Fair Value

5 of 6 Models Agree: NO

ModelSaysFair Value estimated fair priceConfidence
MATH PIN ModelNO85c—
MATH Compound SignalNO63c—
AI DeepSeek QuantNO74c
62%
AI Grok ContrarianYES48c
42%
AI Gemini FlashNO72c
75%
AI Kimi MacroNO70c
60%

5 of 6 models estimate NO fair value above market (63–85c vs 70c). Gemini Flash leads with 75% confidence.

Models estimate fair value of NO at 73c — market prices it at 70c. 3-point gap supports NO.

Why One Model Disagrees: Grok Contrarian dissents at 48c — Market consensus at 30% YES (and smart-money PIN at 15%) heavily prices a successful NGRI outcome, yet U.S. insanity defenses fail in ~75...

1 Active Wallets on This Market

We tracked 1 wallet with positions above $1K on this market. NO wallets entered between 70c.

WalletCategorySideAmountP&L
0xcaab..ddRetailNO$2.0K+1%
See all 87 alpha wallets →  ·  Learn about copy trading →

All NO Positions Are in Profit

NO wallets entered at 70c. At current price 30c, all YES buyers are underwater while all NO holders are profitable. Profitable positions rarely sell early — NO side has structural price support.

Profit/Loss by Side
YES positions
0% in profit
NO positions
100% in profit

Polymarket: 30c YES — $56K Volume

Polymarket prices YES at 30c with $56K in total volume. Our model estimates fair value at 27c. 3-point gap is within normal range — no significant mispricing.

PlatformYES PriceVolume
Polymarket30c$56K
Our Model27c—
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Frequently Asked Questions

What are the current odds for Lindsay Clancy convicted of murder?
As of August 2026, Polymarket prices this at 30% YES with $56K in total volume.

Where can I bet on Lindsay Clancy convicted of murder?
This market is available on Polymarket (crypto-native, global access via USDC). OddsShift tracks prices and smart money positioning in real time.

What does smart money say about Lindsay Clancy convicted of murder?
OddsShift tracks 1 smart money wallet on this market. Dominant position: NO. Smart money wallets are selected based on historical profitability across Polymarket.

What do AI models predict for Lindsay Clancy convicted of murder?
OddsShift runs mathematical + AI models on every alpha market. Current fair value estimate: 27c YES. 5 models agree on direction.