Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?

Q: What are the current odds for 'Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?'?

As of July 2026, prediction markets price this at 24% YES on Polymarket with $576K in total trading volume.

76c

YES

24c

Prediction markets put the probability at 30%: Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31. Currently, markets see this as unlikely (30% YES).

Down from 61% to 24% since 2026-05-02 (-37pp)

Traded on Polymarket — $576K Volume

Polymarket prices this at 24c YES with $576K in volume. Moderate liquidity — use limit orders for positions above $1K to avoid moving the price.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What are the current odds for Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?

As of July 2026, Polymarket prices this at 24% YES with $576K in total volume.

Where can I bet on Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?

This market is available on Polymarket (crypto-native, global access via USDC). OddsShift tracks prices and smart money positioning in real time.