Politics
Resolves: Nov 2026 9 days left Volume: $51K

Republican House odds hit 12% by October 31?

NO
90c
YES
10c

As of October 22, 2026, Polymarket prices “Republican House odds hit 12% by October 31?” at 10% YES with $51K traded. 1 tracked wallet holds a position here; the dominant side is NO.

Prediction markets give a 10% probability to: republican house odds hit 12% by october 31?.

Currently at 10%

Traded on Polymarket — $51K Volume

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MODERATE AI VERDICT
BUY NO 90c

Smart money entered NO at 76c. 100% of NO wallets in profit.

+6% TARGET YIELD
54c
95c
100c
90c
Stop Loss Current Target Fair Value

1 Active Wallets on This Market

We tracked 1 wallet with positions above $1K on this market. NO wallets entered between 76c.

WalletCategorySideAmountP&L
0x551e..e0MMNO$6.8K+18%
See all 90 tracked wallets →  ·  Learn about copy trading →

All NO Positions Are in Profit

NO wallets entered at 76c. At current price 10c, all YES buyers are underwater while all NO holders are profitable. Profitable positions rarely sell early — NO side has structural price support.

YES positions
0% in profit
NO positions
100% in profit

Polymarket: 10c YES — $51K Volume

Polymarket prices YES at 10c with $51K in total volume. Our model estimates fair value at 10c. Model and market are aligned — no pricing discrepancy detected.

PlatformYES PriceVolume
Polymarket10c$51K
Our Model10c—

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Frequently Asked Questions

What are the current odds for Republican House odds hit 12% by October 31?

As of October 2026, Polymarket prices this at 10% YES with $51K in total volume.

Where can I bet on Republican House odds hit 12% by October 31?

This market is available on Polymarket (crypto-native, global access via USDC). OddsShift tracks prices and smart money positioning in real time.

What does smart money say about Republican House odds hit 12% by October 31?

OddsShift tracks 1 smart money wallet on this market. Dominant position: NO. Smart money wallets are selected based on historical profitability across Polymarket.