SBF released from custody in 2026?

Q: What are the current odds for 'SBF released from custody in 2026?'?

As of July 2026, prediction markets price this at 6% YES on Polymarket with $443K in total trading volume.

Q: What does smart money say about 'SBF released from custody in 2026?'?

OddsShift tracks 1 smart money wallets on this market. The dominant position among tracked wallets is NO. Smart money wallets are selected based on historical profitability and win rate across Polymarket.

94c

YES

Prediction markets give a 6% probability to: sbf released from custody in 2026?.

Price has been stable at 6% since 2026-04-14

Traded on Polymarket — $443K Volume

Polymarket prices this at 6c YES with $443K in volume. Moderate liquidity — use limit orders for positions above $1K to avoid moving the price.

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OddsShift analysis: 5 AI models + 1 tracked wallets. Track record: 12/12 correct directional calls across 12 resolved markets.

CONFLICTING OUR VERDICT

HOLD

Smart money entered NO at 92c. 100% of NO wallets in profit.

— TARGET YIELD

1 Active Wallets on This Market

We tracked 1 wallet with positions above $1K on this market. NO wallets entered between 92c.

Wallet	Category	Side	Amount	P&L
0xdcc9..34	MM	NO	$1.4K	+3%
This Market Entered at 92c → now 94c (+3%), $1.4K on NO Activity · 9 events · Feb 28 → Jul 03 DatePositionAmountTotal Feb 28BUYNO88+$92$92 Mar 04BUYNO88+$180$273 Mar 18BUYNO88+$185$458 Mar 31BUYNO90+$160$628 Apr 07BUYNO92+$92$734 Apr 13BUYNO95+$100$858 Apr 16BUYNO95+$285$1,143 Jun 08BUYNO94+$96$1,229 Jul 03BUYNO96+$172$1,418 Realized— Unrealized+$40 Total Profit+$40 Wallet Type Market maker — provides liquidity on both sides. High trade count (1296) is standard for automated market making, not directional conviction.

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All NO Positions Are in Profit

NO wallets entered at 92c. At current price 6c, all YES buyers are underwater while all NO holders are profitable. Profitable positions rarely sell early — NO side has structural price support.

Profit/Loss by Side

YES positions

0% in profit

NO positions

100% in profit

Polymarket: 6c YES — $443K Volume

Polymarket prices YES at 6c with $443K in total volume. Our model estimates fair value at 6c. Model and market are aligned — no pricing discrepancy detected.

Platform	YES Price	Volume
Polymarket	6c	$443K
Our Model	6c	—

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Frequently Asked Questions

What are the current odds for SBF released from custody in 2026?

As of July 2026, Polymarket prices this at 6% YES with $443K in total volume.

Where can I bet on SBF released from custody in 2026?

This market is available on Polymarket (crypto-native, global access via USDC). OddsShift tracks prices and smart money positioning in real time.

What does smart money say about SBF released from custody in 2026?

OddsShift tracks 1 smart money wallet on this market. Dominant position: NO. Smart money wallets are selected based on historical profitability across Polymarket.