SBF released from custody in 2026?

Q: What are the current odds for 'SBF released from custody in 2026?'?

As of April 2026, prediction markets price this at 5% YES on Polymarket with $324K in total trading volume.

Q: What does smart money say about 'SBF released from custody in 2026?'?

OddsShift tracks 1 smart money wallets on this market. The dominant position among tracked wallets is NO. Smart money wallets are selected based on historical profitability and win rate across Polymarket.

95c

YES

Prediction markets give a 5% probability to: sbf released from custody in 2026?.

Price has been stable at 5% since 2026-04-14

Traded on Polymarket — $324K Volume

Polymarket prices this at 5c YES with $324K in volume. Moderate liquidity — use limit orders for positions above $1K to avoid moving the price.

Trade this market on Polymarket →

Last updated: April 17, 2026, 13:40 UTC

OddsShift analysis: 5 AI models + 1 tracked wallets. Track record: 12/12 correct directional calls across 12 resolved markets.

PRO Analysis

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CONFLICTING OUR VERDICT

HOLD

Smart money entered NO at 91c. 100% of NO wallets in profit.

— TARGET YIELD

1 Active Wallets on This Market

We tracked 1 wallet with positions above $1K on this market. NO wallets entered between 91c.

Wallet	Category	Side	Amount	P&L
0xdcc9..34	MM	NO	$1.2K	+4%
This Market Entered at 91c → now 95c (+4%), $1.2K on NO Track Record 11mo on platform · 1358 trades · other specialist AI Insight Market maker — provides liquidity on both sides. High trade count (1358) is standard for automated market making, not directional conviction.

See all 166 tracked wallets → · Learn about copy trading →

All NO Positions Are in Profit

NO wallets entered at 91c. At current price 5c, all YES buyers are underwater while all NO holders are profitable. Profitable positions rarely sell early — NO side has structural price support.

Profit/Loss by Side

YES positions

0% in profit

NO positions

100% in profit

Polymarket: 5c YES — $324K Volume

Polymarket prices YES at 5c with $324K in total volume. Our model estimates fair value at 5c. Model and market are aligned — no pricing discrepancy detected.

Platform	YES Price	Volume
Polymarket	5c	$324K
Our Model	5c	—

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Frequently Asked Questions

What are the current odds for SBF released from custody in 2026??

As of April 2026, Polymarket prices this at 5% YES with $324K in total volume.

Where can I bet on SBF released from custody in 2026??

This market is available on Polymarket (crypto-native, global access via USDC). OddsShift tracks prices and smart money positioning in real time.

What does smart money say about SBF released from custody in 2026??

OddsShift tracks 1 smart money wallet on this market. Dominant position: NO. Smart money wallets are selected based on historical profitability across Polymarket.