Trump declares election interference national emergency by December 31?

Q: What are the current odds for 'Trump declares election interference national emergency by December 31?'?

As of July 2026, prediction markets price this at 30% YES on Polymarket with $178K in total trading volume.

70c

YES

30c

Prediction markets put the probability at 32%: Trump declares election interference national emergency by December 31. Currently, markets are divided (32% YES, 68% NO).

Up from 14% to 30% since 2026-05-02 (+16pp)

Traded on Polymarket — $178K Volume

Polymarket prices this at 30c YES with $178K in volume. Moderate liquidity — use limit orders for positions above $1K to avoid moving the price.

Trade this market on Polymarket →

OddsShift analysis: 5 AI models + 162 tracked wallets. Track record: 12/12 correct directional calls across 12 resolved markets.

PRO Analysis

What does smart money think? Get AI verdicts, wallet positioning, signal analysis, and entry targets.

Full AI Analysis Available on PRO Markets

OddsShift runs mathematical + AI models and tracks 166 smart money wallets. Get BUY/SELL verdicts, entry targets, wallet positions, and P&L data.

Deep Analysis — Politics Markets

These Politics markets have full AI verdicts, smart money tracking, and 5-model analysis:

See all 107 analyzed markets →

Related Markets

Frequently Asked Questions

What are the current odds for Trump declares election interference national emergency by December 31?

As of July 2026, Polymarket prices this at 30% YES with $178K in total volume.

Where can I bet on Trump declares election interference national emergency by December 31?

This market is available on Polymarket (crypto-native, global access via USDC). OddsShift tracks prices and smart money positioning in real time.