Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by December 31?

Q: What are the current odds for 'Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by December 31?'?

As of October 2026, prediction markets price this at 5% YES on Polymarket with $120K in total trading volume.

Q: What does smart money say about 'Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by December 31?'?

OddsShift tracks 1 smart money wallets on this market. The dominant position among tracked wallets is NO. Smart money wallets are selected based on historical profitability and win rate across Polymarket.

95c

YES

As of October 11, 2026, Polymarket prices “Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by December 31?” at 5% YES with $120K traded. 1 tracked wallet holds a position here; the dominant side is NO.

Prediction markets give a 5% probability to: trump renames strait of hormuz to "strait of trump" by december 31?.

Price has been stable at 5% since 2026-09-03

Traded on Polymarket — $120K Volume

Trade this market on Polymarket →

OddsShift analysis: up to 5 AI models + 1 tracked wallets on every market with smart-money data. Verdict track record published on the accuracy page.

PRO Analysis

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HOLD · NO ENTRY AI VERDICT

HOLD

Smart money entered NO at 93c. 100% of NO wallets in profit.

— TARGET YIELD

1 Active Wallets on This Market

We tracked 1 wallet with positions above $1K on this market. NO wallets entered between 93c.

Wallet	Category	Side	Amount	P&L
0x7c3d..6b	MM	NO	$2.4K	+2%
This Market Entered at 93c → now 95c (+2%), $2.4K on NO Activity · 1 event · Sep 02 DatePositionAmountTotal Sep 02BUYNO93+$2,402$2,402 Realized— Unrealized+$38 Total Profit+$38 Wallet Type Market maker — provides liquidity on both sides. High trade count (1350) is standard for automated market making, not directional conviction.

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All NO Positions Are in Profit

NO wallets entered at 93c. At current price 5c, all YES buyers are underwater while all NO holders are profitable. Profitable positions rarely sell early — NO side has structural price support.

Profit/Loss by Side

YES positions

0% in profit

NO positions

100% in profit

Polymarket and Kalshi Disagree by 49 Cents

Significant 49-cent gap: Polymarket at 5c vs Kalshi at 54c. Kalshi traders see a substantially different probability. Our model estimates fair value at 5c.

Platform	YES Price	Volume
Polymarket	5c	$120K
Kalshi	54c	—
Our Model	5c	—

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Frequently Asked Questions

What are the current odds for Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by December 31?

As of October 2026, Polymarket prices this at 5% YES with $120K in total volume.

Where can I bet on Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by December 31?

This market is available on Polymarket (crypto-native, global access via USDC). OddsShift tracks prices and smart money positioning in real time.

What does smart money say about Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by December 31?

OddsShift tracks 1 smart money wallet on this market. Dominant position: NO. Smart money wallets are selected based on historical profitability across Polymarket.