Trump x Greenland deal signed by December 31?

Q: What are the current odds for 'Trump x Greenland deal signed by December 31?'?

As of June 2026, prediction markets price this at 59% YES on Polymarket with $76K in total trading volume.

YES

59c

41c

Prediction markets put the probability at 32%: Trump x Greenland deal signed by December 31. Currently, markets are divided (32% YES, 68% NO). Trump says he will hike tariffs on EU cars to 25%.

Up from 46% to 59% since 2026-04-14 (+13pp)

Traded on Polymarket — $76K Volume

Lower-volume market on Polymarket ($76K). Wider spreads expected — enter with limit orders and be aware of slippage risk. Currently 59c YES.

Trade this market on Polymarket →

OddsShift analysis: 5 AI models + 162 tracked wallets. Track record: 12/12 correct directional calls across 12 resolved markets.

PRO Analysis

What does smart money think? Get AI verdicts, wallet positioning, signal analysis, and entry targets.

Full AI Analysis Available on PRO Markets

OddsShift runs mathematical + AI models and tracks 166 smart money wallets. Get BUY/SELL verdicts, entry targets, wallet positions, and P&L data.

Deep Analysis — Politics Markets

These Politics markets have full AI verdicts, smart money tracking, and 5-model analysis:

See all 107 analyzed markets →

Related Markets

Frequently Asked Questions

What are the current odds for Trump x Greenland deal signed by December 31?

As of June 2026, Polymarket prices this at 59% YES with $76K in total volume.

Where can I bet on Trump x Greenland deal signed by December 31?

This market is available on Polymarket (crypto-native, global access via USDC). OddsShift tracks prices and smart money positioning in real time.