Geopolitics
Resolves: Jan 2027 4 months left Volume: $152K

Ukraine coup attempt by December 31?

NO
94c
YES
6c

Prediction markets put the probability at 6%: Ukraine coup attempt by December 31. Currently, markets see this as unlikely (6% YES).

Price has been stable at 6% since 2026-07-07

Traded on Polymarket — $152K Volume

Polymarket prices this at 6c YES with $152K in volume. Moderate liquidity — use limit orders for positions above $1K to avoid moving the price.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What are the current odds for Ukraine coup attempt by December 31?

As of August 2026, Polymarket prices this at 6% YES with $152K in total volume.

Where can I bet on Ukraine coup attempt by December 31?

This market is available on Polymarket (crypto-native, global access via USDC). OddsShift tracks prices and smart money positioning in real time.