As of August 29, 2026, Polymarket prices “Ukraine coup attempt by December 31?” at 6% YES with $152K traded. No tracked wallet holds a position on this market, so there is no verdict.
Prediction markets put the probability at 5%: Ukraine coup attempt by December 31. Currently, markets see this as unlikely (5% YES).
OddsShift analysis: up to 5 AI models + 166 tracked wallets on every market with smart-money data. Verdict track record published on the accuracy page.
No verdict on this market
None of the 166 tracked wallets holds a position here, so the Radar makes no call — price, volume and news above are live.
When a tracked wallet takes a position, this page gets a verdict.