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Resolves: Dec 2026 3 months left Volume: $697K

Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?

NO
94c
YES
6c

As of September 1, 2026, Polymarket prices “Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?” at 6% YES with $697K traded. No tracked wallet holds a position on this market, so there is no verdict.

Prediction markets put the probability at 8%: Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31. Currently, markets see this as unlikely (8% YES). Alphabet doubled capex to $35.67 billion while maintaining 36.1% operating margin, signaling AI infrastructure commitment without margin compression.

Down from 16% to 6% since 2026-06-12 (-10pp)

Traded on Polymarket — $697K Volume

Trade this market on Polymarket →
On this market: 4/5 models independently agree NO — rare convergence. Full verdict track record on the accuracy page.

No verdict on this market

None of the 166 tracked wallets holds a position here, so the Radar makes no call — price, volume and news above are live. When a tracked wallet takes a position, this page gets a verdict.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What are the current odds for Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
As of September 2026, Polymarket prices this at 6% YES with $697K in total volume.

Where can I bet on Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
This market is available on Polymarket (crypto-native, global access via USDC). OddsShift tracks prices and smart money positioning in real time.

What do AI models predict for Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
OddsShift runs mathematical + AI models on every alpha market. Current fair value estimate: 13c YES. 4 models agree on direction.