Tools
Market Radar Copy Trading Compare Arbitrage X-Tweet Market Pricing
Learn
How It Works Accuracy Tracker Prediction Markets Guide Getting Started Legal & Regulation Tax Guide Safety Review
Other
Resolves: Dec 2026 7 months left Volume: $300K

Will anyone be jailed over Epstein disclosures?

NO
86c
YES
14c

Prediction markets put the probability at 14%: Will anyone be jailed over Epstein disclosures?. Currently, markets see this as unlikely (14% YES).

Price has been stable at 14% since 2026-04-14

Traded on Polymarket — $300K Volume

Polymarket prices this at 14c YES with $300K in volume. Moderate liquidity — use limit orders for positions above $1K to avoid moving the price.

Trade this market on Polymarket →
On this market: 6/5 AI models agree NO. Our system has been 100% accurate when 4+ models converge — across 12 resolved markets.
MODERATE OUR VERDICT
BUY NO 86c

6/6 models agree on NO, fair value 13c vs market 14c. Weak edge — consider waiting for stronger signal.

+10% TARGET YIELD
52c
95c
100c
86c
87c
Stop Loss Current Target Fair Value

6 of 6 Models Agree: NO

ModelSaysFair Value estimated fair priceConfidence
MATH PIN ModelNO98c—
MATH Compound SignalNO71c—
AI Claude AnalysisNO91c
78%
AI DeepSeek QuantNO92c
75%
AI Gemini FlashNO85c
65%
AI Kimi MacroNO86c
86%

6 of 6 models estimate NO fair value above market (71–98c vs 86c). Kimi Macro leads with 86% confidence.

Models estimate fair value of NO at 87c — market prices it at 86c. 1-point gap supports NO.

1 Active Wallets on This Market

Smart money entered NO at 86c and has not trimmed, signaling continued conviction that no jailings will occur within the resolution window. The absence of any tracked YES entries reinforces a directional read: informed flow treats prosecutorial action on Epstein disclosures as a low-probability tail, consistent with the 14c market price.

WalletCategorySideAmountP&L
0xa8af..5eMMNO$1.3K+0%
See all 80 alpha wallets →  ·  Learn about copy trading →

All NO Positions Are in Profit

The single tracked wallet is sitting on a profitable NO position entered at 86c, now implied at 86c with YES at 14c — a clean ~0% drawdown and full conviction held. With 100% of NO exposure in profit and zero YES participation, there is no smart-money pressure supporting an upward repricing of YES.

Profit/Loss by Side
YES positions
0% in profit
NO positions
100% in profit

Polymarket: 14c YES — $300K Volume

Polymarket prices YES at 14c with $300K in total volume. Our model estimates fair value at 13c. 1-point gap is within normal range — no significant mispricing.

PlatformYES PriceVolume
Polymarket14c$300K
Our Model13c—
Back to Market Radar

Related Markets

Other
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
YES 34c
 Other
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?
YES 16c
 Other
Will Joao Fonseca win the 2026 Men's French Open?
YES 8c
 Other
Will there be at least 10000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?
YES 14c
 Other
AI bubble burst in 2026?
YES 23c

Frequently Asked Questions

What are the current odds for Will anyone be jailed over Epstein disclosures??
As of May 2026, Polymarket prices this at 14% YES with $300K in total volume.

Where can I bet on Will anyone be jailed over Epstein disclosures??
This market is available on Polymarket (crypto-native, global access via USDC). OddsShift tracks prices and smart money positioning in real time.

What does smart money say about Will anyone be jailed over Epstein disclosures??
OddsShift tracks 1 smart money wallet on this market. Dominant position: NO. Smart money wallets are selected based on historical profitability across Polymarket.

What do AI models predict for Will anyone be jailed over Epstein disclosures??
OddsShift runs mathematical + AI models on every alpha market. Current fair value estimate: 13c YES. 6 models agree on direction.